Posts by Mark Rachal

Crude demand expected to recover by 2022 Posted on 10 Jul 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Crude demand is expected to decline 8 percent this year, increase 6 percent next year and fully recover in 2022. Read more»

Propane production on rebound as refinery throughput increases Posted on 29 Jun 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

U.S. propane production has been on the rise over the past few weeks, putting a lid on propane prices. A key reason that propane inventories have dropped from over 19... Read more»

Propane pricing will hinge on crude production Posted on 23 Jun 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Producers voluntarily shut production during April, and the associated natural gas liquids loss dramatically impacted propane fundamentals. Read more»

Expectations for propane pricing relative to crude Posted on 10 Jun 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Mark Rachal looks at the relationship between propane and crude, and what to expect going forward based on that relationship. Read more»

Year-over-year increase in inventory, but prices on uptrend Posted on 04 Jun 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Over the past five weeks, propane production has been down. Mark Rachal takes a look at the scoreboard for U.S. propane inventory levels compared to prices. Read more»

Inventory builds begin lighter than previous year Posted on 27 May 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Inventory builds were late in starting this year, and now that they have, last week’s data showed they can be lighter than normal. Read more»

Comparing imports, exports and propane’s relative value to crude Posted on 12 May 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Propane’s more supportive fundamental picture will keep it from falling to the extremely low values witnessed at the beginning of the year. Read more»

Propane fundamentals supportive of prices Posted on 05 May 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

Propane is trading at a record high relative value to WTI crude, which suggests traders see propane fundamentals as more supportive of its price. Read more»

Explaining the basis, catalyst of historic crude price drop Posted on 28 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog & COVID-19 categories.

As citizens sheltered in place, there was a dramatic shift in crude demand, leading to an extreme oversupply that has most available crude storage nearing capacity. Read more»

Propane rallies amid crude pricing struggles Posted on 23 Apr 2020 in the Blue Flame Blog categories.

The oversupply in crude is leading to reduced propane supply, which is causing the value of the two commodities to separate. Read more»